Tracking My Prediction Progress

by Colleen Fischesser

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It’s pretty early for me to be evaluating the accuracy of my predictions for the 2010 Maple Valley Real Estate market, but then again we’re talking about moi.

When I go “on a diet”, I weigh myself that afternoon (and the next morning and the next afternoon ’cause you just never know, right?). When we want to paint a room, I put a plate size swatch of color on every wall….just to envision it and then am good.

Tell me you have a secret?  I’ll probably get it out of you.

In other words, I’m not a very patient person.

So, while working on some stats tonight for the Maple Valley real estate market, I decided to take a sneak peak and see where my prediction about the final number of SOLD homes for ‘09 fell…. and well what…..d0…..you…..know…..?

I was right on in my final estimation of closed sales for the year.

Maple Valley had 426 single family homes close in 2009. (Listed and sold through NWMLS ). Part of my prediction for number of units sold included a prediction for the final number of closed sales for ‘09:

My guess is we will be somewhere around 425-430 once everything has closed by Thursday, the 31

What is the final number?

Drumroll please…..

426!

Whew! As fuzzy as my crystal ball has been these last few years, if feels good to get this small thing right!

We’ll see how the rest of the year and these predictions roll out. I should warn you that if I’m right….you’ll read about it here.

If I’m wrong? I’ll admit it, but I won’t have to blog about it.

Right?

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